Tuesday, May 12, 2020
Tuesday, May 5, 2020
World Bank on Covid Crisis and Health Economics AND Our thoughs on the True Governance Equation and Yardstick
World Bank on the general specifics of health economics, statistics, actuarial and scientific numerical epidemiology:
DCarsonCPA on the needed yardsticks and slow moving communications of Covid:
The Covid Crisis is revealing we need a new and active ready statistical model where the Numerator and Denominators are aligned to help gauge and measure response and weight the balance of Health Responses to Economic Impacts not because we like that but because in order to logically lead the economy requires a compass to quantification and magnitude.
We will return here to add more soon but in essence the point is that currently no transparent yardstick exists of health impacts to economic impacts and that is the line where the #CostBenefit exists to crisis level decision making for the National, Multi-State, Regional , State and Local Economics and the next level lines of International Economies, Trade, Aid and the wider range of Global Macro Economics
We have some detailed observations on the crisis to soon follow here or on subsequent post to precision lines.
#DCarsonCPA www.dcarsoncpa.com on the Domestic and Global Economy, Trade, Aid, Finance, Commerce and more. WE can help on Macro., Micro, Core Financials and the Industry, NGO, Non Profit, Government and Community lines of needs as needed with compliance. #Economist #analyst #ActuarialApprentice #DataScience #financial #legalassistant #Technology and #Teamwork points to needs on #CFO #CIO #PM #BA #STEM and #analyst flows with #GRLSTEM for operations, strategy, policy and more. We can help on growth, risk and logistics needs where core financials meet value in context to decision making.
Unlike standard economic modelling, understanding the economic implications of #COVID19 requires modelling the characteristics of the epidemics, a specialty more likely to be found among epidemiologists, mathematicians and statisticians. https://t.co/KVPR5NgXBp— World Bank Data (@worldbankdata) May 5, 2020
DCarsonCPA on the needed yardsticks and slow moving communications of Covid:
The Covid Crisis is revealing we need a new and active ready statistical model where the Numerator and Denominators are aligned to help gauge and measure response and weight the balance of Health Responses to Economic Impacts not because we like that but because in order to logically lead the economy requires a compass to quantification and magnitude.
We will return here to add more soon but in essence the point is that currently no transparent yardstick exists of health impacts to economic impacts and that is the line where the #CostBenefit exists to crisis level decision making for the National, Multi-State, Regional , State and Local Economics and the next level lines of International Economies, Trade, Aid and the wider range of Global Macro Economics
We have some detailed observations on the crisis to soon follow here or on subsequent post to precision lines.
#DCarsonCPA www.dcarsoncpa.com on the Domestic and Global Economy, Trade, Aid, Finance, Commerce and more. WE can help on Macro., Micro, Core Financials and the Industry, NGO, Non Profit, Government and Community lines of needs as needed with compliance. #Economist #analyst #ActuarialApprentice #DataScience #financial #legalassistant #Technology and #Teamwork points to needs on #CFO #CIO #PM #BA #STEM and #analyst flows with #GRLSTEM for operations, strategy, policy and more. We can help on growth, risk and logistics needs where core financials meet value in context to decision making.
Monday, April 27, 2020
IMF Perspective on the Covid Crisis
IMF Perspective on the Covid Crisis
STARTING NOW: A conversation on the global crisis with IMF Managing Director @KGeorgieva and @AtlanticCouncil @fredkempe, with introductory remarks by @joshualipsky https://t.co/7Vv35iJ8E8— IMF (@IMFNews) April 27, 2020
#DCarsonCPA Global on Research https://www.dcarsoncpa.com/global
#Economist #Analyst #EPCLines #EaCSL #GRLSTEM
Sunday, April 26, 2020
via Bloomberg : Ray Dalio on the Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Crisis
via Bloomberg : Ray Dalio on the Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Crisis:
Ray Dalio is well known to the Investment Community his sound in on Bloomberg provides a base line of context and we all find a need to understand and consider more where this all is leading us to.
On separate but related lines:
#DCarsonCPA on #ValueinContext Covid in Complexity (Sum of the Good, the Bad and the Ugly but not in that order necessarily):
Caveat no harm is intended here only to help begin our lines to help on abstract into core value needs for recovery as able and with better barometer to all points Health and Health Economics and Fiscal Policy and Economy, Sustainability and Impacts. If we cannot analyze it becomes hard to understand, transparency improves understanding and valued in teamwork.
#Covid is having a significant impact to Health and Personal Liberties but we are showing great teamwork. On a spiritual and human level we have compassion for any and all who are dealing with this crisis personally and directly with loss or suffering and separation, and wish you great strength support and resilience. Our skills come in on contextual understanding so we seek to help in understanding in prioritized order first via our actuarial apprentice lines to connect to actual statistics which were preceded by a tidal wave of media fear mongering it seemed where the better point served would have been responsible education,ie this is what we are asking and why, followed by then clarity to real transparent incidence statistics with the scientists and statisticians, demographers and health statisticians explaining clearly.Instead what happened was mass hysteria inducing fear sellling which led to worse than needed impacts to the psychology of the population and to the logistics and distribution lines of needs and perhaps in hind sight some of that energy could have saved lives if better directed towards elderly and disabled, inner city and high density zone community outreach which might have blunted the hit to Latino and Black American Communities and the Elderly and increasingly the outreach to the carriers in the younger lines of I feel good so we are all good which are manifest in observing the youthful cavalier that always exists but can be informed and led to help.
With clear sight to human impacts and support we also have to weigh in the equation how current health and health economics are weighing into a value added analysis of
N/D expressed as:
Health and Health Economics
________________________
Fiscal Impact and Policy (debt and deficit drivers , GDP contraction et al)
As our leaders have noted as mortality shows a backwards slide they will feel more comfortable in the economy taking focus and opening which translates to a line of diminished health and health economics in the numerator to the denominator lines of health costs / fiscal and gdp impacts and industrial contraction and the increasing risk of supply line impacts to food, agriculture, energy and other competing needs for goods and sevices, education, social interaction, psychological and physiological health and mobility of the population which will downstream factor into public health ie how is staying at home impacting longevity on robust lines of averting the immediate challenges and maintaining fit and form with excercise and diet? certain people are alone which is an increased risk factor for mortality how is their elderly young and all age groups health impacted?
Environmentally we might assume its a win but what about all that soap and cleansing product of amonia, bleach et al and all the waste of masks and gloves where not reusable taking us?
is this a greater challenge of the human hand or an interaction of a higher being to slow us down to family and community needs that we not lose our humanity and faith at base or at minimal inter human context to purpose?.
Whatever is happening we must simultaneously work on teamwork and begin to turn on the lights of contextual understanding. This happens with the #Economist #analyst #actuarial #statistician and #FinancialAnalysts views to impact lines that quantify the model and project from the actuals to the plan, budget and forecast of this new road we are on.
We will be now working to help bring transparency to this line as an early experienced flaw of the overall communications lines was predictable impacts in this line of the #covidexperience
more to follow our role is to help on abstract analysis at macro with micro skills to apply that knowledge for optimized outcome support to needs on #EPCLines and we are decidedly human and heartful in the mix and quantification and enumeration provides a better compass and a more enriched line of support to public and private needs in the economy across entity policy and community lines of industry, non profits, government and communities at work in the #covidcrisis
Another relevant line of understanding is getting to the actual bottom of understanding #Covid as act or nature or human hand after the dust settles and at current press 2/50 states have initiated law suits vs China and the WHO and elements on the French Conservative Political landscape are following suit. The world has elements of unhappiness with the cut funding to the WHO which is important but at the same time the leader of the WHO needs to be a medical leader fearless to speak to epidemics and challenges at origin in real time which is unfortunately easier to do in some places as compared to others depending on parallel lines to degrees of freedom and openness.
This is a big issue with many challenges and much to learn. The referenced lines above to Global Law will at a minimum ideally build to better forensic understanding, a vision of accountability for epidemics and hopefully in the end the best of outcomes is we all find better ways forward.
DCarsonCPA on the Economy at https://www.dcarsoncpa.com/addtl_sources/economic_research working across financial, legal, technology and teamwork points to analysis to help on the economy and recovery.
Ray Dalio is well known to the Investment Community his sound in on Bloomberg provides a base line of context and we all find a need to understand and consider more where this all is leading us to.
On separate but related lines:
#DCarsonCPA on #ValueinContext Covid in Complexity (Sum of the Good, the Bad and the Ugly but not in that order necessarily):
Caveat no harm is intended here only to help begin our lines to help on abstract into core value needs for recovery as able and with better barometer to all points Health and Health Economics and Fiscal Policy and Economy, Sustainability and Impacts. If we cannot analyze it becomes hard to understand, transparency improves understanding and valued in teamwork.
#Covid is having a significant impact to Health and Personal Liberties but we are showing great teamwork. On a spiritual and human level we have compassion for any and all who are dealing with this crisis personally and directly with loss or suffering and separation, and wish you great strength support and resilience. Our skills come in on contextual understanding so we seek to help in understanding in prioritized order first via our actuarial apprentice lines to connect to actual statistics which were preceded by a tidal wave of media fear mongering it seemed where the better point served would have been responsible education,ie this is what we are asking and why, followed by then clarity to real transparent incidence statistics with the scientists and statisticians, demographers and health statisticians explaining clearly.Instead what happened was mass hysteria inducing fear sellling which led to worse than needed impacts to the psychology of the population and to the logistics and distribution lines of needs and perhaps in hind sight some of that energy could have saved lives if better directed towards elderly and disabled, inner city and high density zone community outreach which might have blunted the hit to Latino and Black American Communities and the Elderly and increasingly the outreach to the carriers in the younger lines of I feel good so we are all good which are manifest in observing the youthful cavalier that always exists but can be informed and led to help.
With clear sight to human impacts and support we also have to weigh in the equation how current health and health economics are weighing into a value added analysis of
N/D expressed as:
Health and Health Economics
________________________
Fiscal Impact and Policy (debt and deficit drivers , GDP contraction et al)
As our leaders have noted as mortality shows a backwards slide they will feel more comfortable in the economy taking focus and opening which translates to a line of diminished health and health economics in the numerator to the denominator lines of health costs / fiscal and gdp impacts and industrial contraction and the increasing risk of supply line impacts to food, agriculture, energy and other competing needs for goods and sevices, education, social interaction, psychological and physiological health and mobility of the population which will downstream factor into public health ie how is staying at home impacting longevity on robust lines of averting the immediate challenges and maintaining fit and form with excercise and diet? certain people are alone which is an increased risk factor for mortality how is their elderly young and all age groups health impacted?
Environmentally we might assume its a win but what about all that soap and cleansing product of amonia, bleach et al and all the waste of masks and gloves where not reusable taking us?
is this a greater challenge of the human hand or an interaction of a higher being to slow us down to family and community needs that we not lose our humanity and faith at base or at minimal inter human context to purpose?.
Whatever is happening we must simultaneously work on teamwork and begin to turn on the lights of contextual understanding. This happens with the #Economist #analyst #actuarial #statistician and #FinancialAnalysts views to impact lines that quantify the model and project from the actuals to the plan, budget and forecast of this new road we are on.
We will be now working to help bring transparency to this line as an early experienced flaw of the overall communications lines was predictable impacts in this line of the #covidexperience
more to follow our role is to help on abstract analysis at macro with micro skills to apply that knowledge for optimized outcome support to needs on #EPCLines and we are decidedly human and heartful in the mix and quantification and enumeration provides a better compass and a more enriched line of support to public and private needs in the economy across entity policy and community lines of industry, non profits, government and communities at work in the #covidcrisis
Another relevant line of understanding is getting to the actual bottom of understanding #Covid as act or nature or human hand after the dust settles and at current press 2/50 states have initiated law suits vs China and the WHO and elements on the French Conservative Political landscape are following suit. The world has elements of unhappiness with the cut funding to the WHO which is important but at the same time the leader of the WHO needs to be a medical leader fearless to speak to epidemics and challenges at origin in real time which is unfortunately easier to do in some places as compared to others depending on parallel lines to degrees of freedom and openness.
This is a big issue with many challenges and much to learn. The referenced lines above to Global Law will at a minimum ideally build to better forensic understanding, a vision of accountability for epidemics and hopefully in the end the best of outcomes is we all find better ways forward.
DCarsonCPA on the Economy at https://www.dcarsoncpa.com/addtl_sources/economic_research working across financial, legal, technology and teamwork points to analysis to help on the economy and recovery.
Monday, April 20, 2020
Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association offer Joint Excellence on Understanding Covid Statistics (US UK)
The Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association on Joint Excellence (US UK Special Relationship ):
#DCarsonCPAUSUKTeamwork support lines #socialstatistics #HealthSector #PublicSector #Industry #Community #NonProfits #Government and #StrongCivics #EPCLines #EaCSL #GRLSTEM support lines at www.dcarsoncpa.com www.dcarsoncpa.net and www.grlstem.com #Economist #analyst #actuarialapprentice #Statistics emergent #statistician #engineering #CoreFinancials #Policy #governance #Government #Compliance and #Teamwork #CFO #CIO #PM #BA #STEM #analyst #CrossAnalyst #Financial #Legal #Technology and #Teamwork
Are you finding the numbers on Covid-19 a bit overwhelming? If so, @signmagazine, our joint publication with @AmstatNews has a great collection of articles to help you understand what's going on with the pandemic https://t.co/oerM0aGd4Q— Royal Statistical Society (@RoyalStatSoc) April 20, 2020
#DCarsonCPAUSUKTeamwork support lines #socialstatistics #HealthSector #PublicSector #Industry #Community #NonProfits #Government and #StrongCivics #EPCLines #EaCSL #GRLSTEM support lines at www.dcarsoncpa.com www.dcarsoncpa.net and www.grlstem.com #Economist #analyst #actuarialapprentice #Statistics emergent #statistician #engineering #CoreFinancials #Policy #governance #Government #Compliance and #Teamwork #CFO #CIO #PM #BA #STEM #analyst #CrossAnalyst #Financial #Legal #Technology and #Teamwork
OECD on the Global Economic Sectors most impacted by COVID
OECD on the Global Economic Sectors most impacted by COVID
The economic sectors most directly affected by #COVID19 lockdown measures represent 40% of total #Employment on average across OECD countries.
— OECD Statistics (@OECD_Stat) April 20, 2020
Read more in the latest #OECD Statistical Insights on #SMEs 👉 https://t.co/ogZyf9xHwg pic.twitter.com/HhNAAMQG4N
#DCarsonCPA on the Domestic and Global Economy, Economic Research, Social Research and project and process support to help on the #Recovery #StrongCivics #DCarsonCPA #EPCLines we can help at www.dcarsoncpa.com www.dcarsoncpa.net and www.grlstem.com #Economist #analyst #datascience #actuarialapprentice #socialstatistics #statisticalmeasures and #corefinancials #ecosystems and #ValueinContext on #EaCSL #entityandcrosssectorlines
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